Q: Are there historical parallels between Iraq and Vietnam?
“If we don't stop the Reds in South Vietnam, tomorrow they will be in Hawaii, and next week they will be in San Francisco.” – President Lyndon B. Johnson, 1966
“Our military is confronting terrorists in Iraq and Afghanistan and in other places so our people will not have to confront terrorist violence in New York or St. Louis or Los Angeles.” – President George W. Bush, 8/26/2003
While it has become apparent that Bush had received special treatment and avoided going to Vietnam as the son of a US Congressman, then-Vice-President Johnson had argued for two weeks against an investigative mission to Saigon assigned by President Kennedy:
“I don't want to embarrass you by getting my head blown off in Saigon.” The young president supposedly answered: “That's all right Lyndon. If anything happens to you out there, Sam Rayburn and I will give you the biggest funeral in the history of Austin, Texas.”1
Both also relied on a limited number of advisors when it comes to consultation. In Johnson’s case, he adopted the modus operandi of his predecessors who had broader knowledge of foreign affairs. Since Eisenhower and Kennedy needed less assistance in policy formation and execution, they enjoyed different levels of success in foreign politics without much organization within the executive branch of the government. But Johnson’s style and background failed to match the small circle of Kennedy’s men. In Bush’s case, he picked well-prepared and experienced advisors for his administration. However, the diversity of perspectives and judgments is nullified by political favoritism. As a result, the decisions and actions of the two Presidents echoed each other:
“It has characterized the United States as a paper tiger and has insisted that the revolutionary struggle for 'liberation and unification' of Vietnam could be conducted without risks by, in effect, crawling under the nuclear and conventional defense of the free world. Peiping thus appears to feel that it has a large stake in demonstrating the new strategy, using Vietnam as a test case. Success in Vietnam would be regarded by Peiping as vindication for China's views in the worldwide ideological struggle.”4 – Secretary of Defense Robert S. McNamara, 4/13/1964
“Do you think the American people are prepared for a long, costly and bloody battle with significant American casualties?” asked Tim Russert. “I really do believe we will be greeted as liberators. I’ve talked with a lot of Iraqis in the last several months myself, had them to the White House. The president and I have met with various groups and individuals, people who’ve devoted their lives from the outside to try and change things inside of Iraq.”5 – Vice-President Dick Cheney, 9/7/2003
“[t]he willingness and determination of the United States to employ increasing force in support of… an independent and stable non-communist government in RVN and a free and neutral Laos.”10 – Secretary of Defense Robert S. McNamara, 3/2/1965
"[o]ur choice: Iraq will be free; Iraq will be independent; Iraq will be a peaceful nation; and we will not waver in the face of fear and intimidation."12 – President George W. Bush, 4/16/2004
“Trying to eliminate Saddam, extending the ground war into an occupation of Iraq… would have incurred incalculable human and political costs… The United States could conceivably still be an occupying power in a bitterly hostile land.”13- President George H.W. Bush, 1998
“We are the strongest nation in the world today, and I do not believe we should ever apply that economic, political or military power unilaterally. If we'd followed that rule in Vietnam, we wouldn't have been there. None of our allies supported us. If we can't persuade nations with comparable values of the merit of our cause, we'd better re-examine our reasoning.”14 – Secretary of Defense Robert S. McNamara, 2003