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Recent debates and speeches...

Second presidential "debate"
(Oct. 15)
Vice presidential debate
(Oct. 7)
First presidential debate
(Sept. 29)
Town Halls: Trump
(Sept. 15) and Biden
(Sept. 17)
Democratic & GOP Conventions
(Aug 2020)
Democratic Veepstakes
(May-July 2020)
N.H. Democratic debate
(Feb. 7, 2020)
CNN N.H. Town Hall
(Feb. 5-6, 2020)
State of the Union
(Feb. 4, 2020)
Iowa Democratic debate
(Jan. 14, 2020)
December Democratic debate
(Dec. 19, 2019)
Impeachment commentary
(Dec. 18, 2019)
November Democratic debate
(Nov. 20, 2019)
October Democratic debate
(Oct. 15, 2019)
CNN GLBT Democratic Town Hall
(Oct. 10, 2019)
Republican debate
(Sept. 24, 2019)
September Democratic debate
(Sept. 12, 2019)
Climate Change Town Hall
(Sept. 4, 2019)
July Democratic debate
(July 30-31, 2019)
June Democratic debate
(June 26-27, 2019)
2019 State of the State speeches
(Jan.-March, 2019)
2019 State of the Union speech
(Feb. 6, 2019)
2018 State of the State speeches
(Jan.-March, 2018)
2018 State of the Union speech
(Jan. 30, 2018)
2017 State of the Union speech
(Feb. 28, 2017)
Third Presidential debate
(Oct. 19, 2016)
Second Presidential debate
(Oct. 9, 2016)
Vice-presidential debate
(Oct. 4, 2016)
First Presidential debate
(Sept. 26, 2016)
Bernie Sanders vs. Hillary Clinton On the Issues
(paperback Feb. 2016)

Miami Democratic debate
(March 2016)
Miami Republican debate
(March 2016)
Republican primary debate in Detroit, Michigan
(March 2016)
CNN-Telemundo Republican debate on eve of Texas primary.
(Feb. 2016)
2016 CNN GOP Town Hall in South Carolina
(Feb. 2016)
2016 CBS News Republican Debate in S.C.
(Feb. 2016)
PBS Democratic Primary Debate in Wisconsin
(Feb. 2016)
2016 ABC News/IJReview Republican Debate in N.H.
(Feb. 2016)
MSNBC Democratic primary debate in New Hampshire
(Feb. 2016)
CNN Democratic Town Hall
(Jan. 2016)
Fox Iowa GOP debate
(Jan. 2016)
NBC/CBC Democratic debate
(Jan. 2016)
Fox Business GOP debate
(Jan. 2016)
State of the Union address
(Jan. 2016)
Hillary Clinton vs. Jeb Bush On the Issues
(paperback Feb. 2016)

CNN GOP Nevada debate
(Dec. 2015)
Syrian Refugee crisis
(Nov.-Dec. 2015)
CBS Democratic debate
(Nov. 2015)
Fox Business GOP debate
(Nov. 2015)
CNBC GOP debate
(Oct. 2015)

CNN Democrat debate
(Oct. 2015)

CNN GOP debate
(Sept. 2015)

Fox/Facebook GOP debate
(August 2015)

Marco Rubio vs. Jeb Bush On the Issues
(paperback June 2015)

Hillary Clinton vs. Rand Paul On the Issues
(paperback May 2015)

Rand Paul vs. Jeb Bush On the Issues
(paperback April 2015)

Jeb vs. Hillary On the Issues
(paperback Feb. 2015)

Rand vs. Ron Paul On the Issues
(Chart April 2015)

Hillary vs. Bill Clinton On the Issues
(Chart Feb. 2015)

Jeb vs. George Bush On the Issues
(Chart March 2015)

Excerpts from "Hard Choices"
(by Hillary Clinton)

Excerpts from "Immigration Wars"
(by Jeb Bush)

Excerpts from "Government Bullies"
(by Rand Paul)

Iowa pre-caucus Summits
(Jan.-March, 2015)

2015 presidential hopeful excerpts

Senate debates
(for Nov. 2014 elections):

Recent books by...
Former Gov. Mitt Romney (R, MA)
No Apology
Rep. Paul Ryan (R, WI)
Young Guns
Pres. Barack Obama
The Audacity of Hope
V.P. Joe Biden
Promises to Keep
Former Rep. Ron Paul
End the Fed

Former Pres. George W. Bush
Decision Points
Former Gov. Sarah Palin (R, AK)
America By Heart
Secy. of State Hillary Clinton
Living History
Former Pres. Bill Clinton
My Life
Gov. Jesse Ventura
American Conspiracies

The Web
OnTheIssues.org

Book Reviews & Excerpts

(click a book cover for excerpts and a review or other books by or about the presidency from Amazon.com)

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2020 Election Coverage:


2020 Senatorial debates:
- AL - AK - AZ - AR - CO - DE - GA-2 - GA-6 - ID - IL - IA - KS - KY - LA -
- ME - MA - MI - MN - MS - MT - NE - NH - NJ - NM - NC -
- OK - OR - RI - SC - SD - TN - TX - VA - WV - WY

2019-2021 Gubernatorial debates:
DE - IN - KY - LA - MO - MS - MT - NC - ND - NH - NJ - PR - UT - VA - VT - WA - WV

   
   

Senate Election Prediction, Oct. 19, 2020

OnTheIssues predictions for 35 Senate races: Democratic takeover, but not on Election Day!

  • The partisan balance in the United States Senate currently stands at 53 Republicans to 47 Democrats.
  • We predict a net gain on Election Day of 3 seats for the Democrats, yielding a 50-50 partisan split.
  • HOWEVER, we also predict that the Georgia Special Senate Election will not be decided until a runoff on January 5. The Nov. 3 election is a "jungle primary" in which we predict no candidate will exceed 50%, so it'll be "all eyes on Georgia" for two months.
  • Surprises might come in the following six races, which are too-close-to-call two weeks out: AK, GA-6, IA, KS, NC, SC
  • All six of the too-close-to-call races have Republican incumbents. Hence if any surprises occur on Election Day, the surprise will mean that the Democrats gain a majority of the Senate. We predict no surprise victory declarations on Election Day....
  • HOWEVER, the pandemic will cause slow election counting, and hence we predict that these six races will all take several days to decide the winner. We predict that one or two of the too-close-to-call races will result in a Democratic takeover, and hence a safe majority for the Democrats come January, but not until later in the week, and hence "all eyes on the Carolinas."
  • Note that the Arizona race is also a special election; we predict that the Democrat will win,and will be seated for the lame-duck session of Congress. That would also apply to the Georgia special election, but we predict "no winner" until after the lame-duck session ends.
  • Note that the Lousiana race is also a "jungle primary", but we predict a clean Republican victory and hence no later runoff race, as we predict in Georgia.

StateDemocratRepublicanPrediction
AKAl Gross (Independent)Dan SullivanToo close to call; GOP incumbent
ALDoug JonesTommy TubervilleGOP takeover
AZMark KellyMartha McSallyDem takeover
ARRicky Dale Harrington (Libertarian)Tom CottonGOP retention
COJohn HickenlooperCory GardnerDem takeover
DEChris CoonsLauren WitzkeDem retention
GA-2Kelly Loeffler
vs.Doug Collins
Raphael Warnock
vs.Ed Tarver
Runoff in January
GA-6David PerdueJon OssoffToo close to call; GOP incumbent
IDPaulette JordanJim RischGOP retention
ILDick DurbinMark CurranDem retention
IATheresa GreenfieldJoni ErnstToo close to call; GOP incumbent
KSBarbara BollierRoger MarshallToo close to call; GOP incumbent
KYAmy McGrathMitch McConnellGOP retention
LAAdrian PerkinsBill CassidyGOP retention
MAEd MarkeyKevin O`Connor
vs.Shiva Ayyadurai (Independent)
Dem retention
MESara GideonSusan CollinsDem takeover
MIGary Peters
vs.Marcia Squier (Green)
John JamesDem retention
MNTina Smith
vs.Paula Overby (Green)
Jason LewisDem retention
MSMike EspyCindy Hyde-SmithGOP retention
MTSteve BullockSteve DainesDem takeover
NEChris JanicekBen SasseGOP retention
NHJeanne ShaheenCorky MessnerDem retention
NJCory BookerRik MehtaDem retention
NMBen Ray LujanMark Ronchetti
vs.Bob Walsh (Libertarian)
Dem retention
NCCal CunninghamThom TillisToo close to call; GOP incumbent
OKAbby BroylesJim InhofeGOP retention
ORJeff MerkleyJo Rae PerkinsDem retention
RIJack ReedAllen WatersDem retention
SCJaime HarrisonLindsey GrahamToo close to call; GOP incumbent
SDDan AhlersMike RoundsGOP retention
TNMarquita BradshawBill HagertyGOP retention
TXMJ HegarJohn CornynGOP retention
VAMark WarnerDaniel GadeDem retention
WVPaula Jean SwearenginShelley Moore CapitoGOP retention
WYMerav Ben-DavidCynthia LummisGOP retention

Source: See 2020 Senate debate page for full race coverage.


Second Presidential "Debate": Oct. 15, 2020

Excerpts from Trump & Biden "Dueling Town Halls"


    The second debate between Biden and Trump was cancelled because the two sides could not agree on virus protective conditions after President Trump exited Walter Reed hospital for a coronavirus infection. Accordingly:
  • Vice President Biden participated in a Town Hall on ABC in Philadelphia, moderated by George Stephanopoulos.
  • President Trump participated in a Town Hall on NBC in Miami, moderated by Savannah Guthrie.
  • The "Dueling Town Halls" took place at the same time, on opposite TV networks.
  • When the two candidates addressed the same topic, we excerpted as if the two candidates were on the same stage, responding
Excerpts from Joe Biden: Excerpts from Donald Trump:
I started wearing masks in March; Trump still questions them. People with masks can still catch coronavirus.
It's a K-shape recovery; only works for the top. We have a V-shape recovery; it's coming back.
More community policing, but not as police jump-out squads. Strong on law enforcement AND on enforcing law on police.
Fund research at HBCUs for foundational support. I got funding for HBCUs for ten years.
I wanted to keep people in China in early 2020 pandemic. I put in travel ban to China very early, and Europe too.
Pre-existing conditions are in jeopardy from Supreme Court. Replace ObamaCare with less expensive but great healthcare.

Source: See numerous additional debate excerpts plus fact-checking.


Vice Presidential Debate: Oct. 7, 2020

Excerpts from Pence & Harris, plus fact-checking


    The Vice Presidential debate was held in utah, moderated by USA Today.

    Excerpts from V.P. Mike Pence:
  • Biden's plan is a $2 trillion version of Green New Deal.
  • We're producing millions of vaccines; ready by end of year.
  • FactCheck: Voted against Great Recession auto bailout
  • Factcheck: Yes, Biden promised to move embassy to Jerusalem; but Obama never agreed
  • Excerpts from Sen. Kamala Harris:
  • FactCheck: Yes, would ban fracking; but Biden never agreed
  • Trump's 50 Court of Appeals appointments: no Blacks.
  • Trump's China policy has cost American jobs & lives.
  • On pre-existing conditions: Republicans are coming for you.
  • We won't raise taxes on anyone earning less than $400,000.
  • We lost Trump's trade war with China, by losing jobs

Source: See numerous additional debate excerpts plus fact-checking.


First Presidential Debate: Sept. 29, 2020

Excerpts from Trump & Biden, plus fact-checking


    The first debate was moderated by Fox News' Chris Wallace, on Sept. 29, at Case Western Reserve University and Cleveland Clinic in Cleveland. Wallace selected the following topics for the first debate:
  1. The Trump and Biden Records
  2. The Supreme Court (and the nomination of Amy Coney Barrett)
  3. Covid-19
  4. The Economy
  5. Race and Violence in our Cities. and
  6. The Integrity of the Election.

  • Excerpts from Joe Biden:
  • Ran for president after Trump's response to Charlottesville.
  • Suburbs are by and large integrated.
  • Violence is never appropriate response to police violence.
  • Reimagine policing: I totally oppose defunding police.
  • FactCheck: Endorsed by 175 law enforcement officials.
  • I support the Biden Plan, not the Green New Deal.
  • Five states have done mail-in ballots for a decade or more.
  • FactCheck: Yes, Hunter Biden was kicked out of military.
    Excerpts from Donald Trump:
  • Proud Boys: stand back & stand by
  • Racial sensitivity training is racist
  • FactCheck: No, not endorsed by Portland's Sheriff.
  • FactCheck: Hillary used term "super predators," not Biden.
  • Obama left 128 openings for judges; I appointed 300.
  • My healthcare plan: we got rid of the individual mandate.
  • I created the Space Force and fixed the VA.

Source: See numerous additional debate excerpts plus fact-checking.


Ruth Bader Ginsburg dies, Sept. 18, 2020

Supreme Court Justice seat opening for late 2020

    Supreme Court Associate Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg died of cancer at age 87. Her dying wish: "My most fervent wish is that I will not be replaced until a new president is installed."

    Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell has vowed to overcome that wish. President Trump recently announced a list of possible nominees, including:

    Following is our coverage of Ginsburg and the rest of the Supreme Court:

Source:OnTheissues archives and Supreme Court full coverage


Democratic and Republican Town Halls: Sept. 15-17, 2020

Trump and Biden participate in separate Town Halls

The two major party candidates participated this week in "Town Halls," with a single moderator directing questions from a live audience, and broadcast live. Basically, this was "warm up" for the upcoming debates! Our excerpts include:

    Joe Biden Town Hall on CNN, Sep. 17, 2020:
  • On Free Trade: China unfairly competes with state-owned enterprises
  • FactCheck: Yes, US has tried "Buy American" for 100 years
  • On Civil Rights: I've benefited from white privilege, & been looked down upon
  • FactCheck: No, only 50% of recent presidents were Ivy league
    Donald Trump Town Hall on ABC, Sep. 15, 2020:
  • On War & Peace: We're creating peace in Mideast; not the old-fashioned way
  • On Tax Reform: Fact Check: Claims falsely that Biden would raise all taxes
  • On Health Care: Coronavirus was China's fault; I tried to close border

Source: See numerous additional excerpts from ABC and CNN Town Halls.


Democratic and Republican Conventions: August 17-27, 2020

Excerpts from acceptance speeches and Party Platforms

The two major parties held their conventions, which included acceptance speeches by the nominees; release of the party platforms; and numerous additional speeches. We excerpt then all...

Donald Trump's acceptance speech for the Republican presidential nomination
Mike Pence's acceptance speech for the Republican vice-presidential nomination
Joe Biden's acceptance speech for the Democratic presidential nomination
Kamala Harris's acceptance speech for the Democratic vice-presidential nomination
Republican Party Platform new planks (just a one-page statement this year)
Democratic Party Platform new planks (a 91-page document this year)

Source: See numerous additional Convention Spech excerpts plus fact-checking.


Presidential ballot: August 25, 2020

U.S. House race coverage

The two major parties completed their conventions this week, and the third parties already have. The results of the conventions is the long list of choices that may appear on your ballot (most of the third parties will appear on only SOME of the 50 states' ballots).

Party
(Click for platform)
Presidential nominee Vice-Presidential nominee
Republican Party Donald Trump Mike Pence
Democratic Party Joe Biden Kamala Harris
Libertarian Party Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen
Green Party Howie Hawkins Angela Walker
Reform Party / Alliance Party Rocky De La Fuente Darcy Richardson
Birthday Party Kanye West Michelle Tidball
Constitution Party Don Blankenship William Mohr
Socialist Party / Liberation Ticket Gloria La Riva Sunil Freeman

Source: See numerous additional hot races for U.S. House for candidates who withdrew or lost primaries.


Kamala Harris nominated for Vice President, Aug. 11, 2020

Biden selects California Senator and presidential campaign rival

    Following is our coverage of Senator Harris' books, debates and media appearances (click on the left for Kamala's excerpts, or on the right for context):

Source:OnTheissues archives and Kamala Harris full coverage


Hot Congressional races: July 31-Aug. 1, 2020

U.S. House race coverage

We report on all House incumbents, but we only cover House races when it seems possible the challenger will win the general election. Following is our list of House challengers in hot races:

Mike Garcia (Republican) Christy Smith (
Incumbent member of Congress House Challenger
CA-21: TJ Cox (D) 2020 rematch challenger: former U.S. Rep. David Valadao(R)
CA-25: TJ Cox (D)2020 rematch challenger: former U.S. Rep. David Valadao(R)
CA-39: Gil Cisneros (D) 2020 rematch challenger: 2018 candidate Young Kim(R)
CA-50: Duncan D. Hunter resigned Jan. 2020 Former Rep. Darrell Issa (R,CA)
GA-5: John Lewis passed away in July 2020. State Sen. Nikema Williams appointed to take his place on the November ballot.
GA-6: Lucy McBath 2020 rematch challenger: former U.S. Rep. Karen Handel (R)
IL-6: Sean Casten 2020 challenger: State Rep. Jeanne Ives (R)
IL-14: Lauren Underwood 2020 challenger: State Sen. Jim Oberweis (R)
IA-3: Cindy Axne 2020 rematch challenger: former U.S. Rep. David Young (R)
KS-2: Steve Watkins Kansas Treasurer and former State Senator Jake LaTurner (R,KS)
MA-4: Joe Kennedy III running for MA Senate in 2020 Alan Khazei running for the open seat.
MI-13: Rashida Tlaib Former US Rep. Brenda Jones Dem. primary challenger
MT-0: Greg Gianforte running for Governor in 2020 Secretary of State Corey Stapleton (R; lost GOP primary)
vs. State Auditor Matt Rosendale (R; won GOP primary)
NJ-7: Tom Malinowski State Sen. Thomas Kean Jr.(R)
NM-2: Xochitl Torres Small 2020 rematch challenger: State Rep. Yvette Herrell(R)
NY-22: Anthony Brindisi 2020 rematch challenger: Former Rep. Claudia Tenney (R,NY)
NC-2: George Holding retiring due to redistricting Challenger State Rep. Deborah Ross (D)
SC-1: Joe Cunningham (D) Challenger State Rep. Nancy Mace (R)
TX-17: Bill Flores retiring 2020 Contender: Former Rep. Pete Sessions (R,TX-32).
VA-2: Elaine Luria 2020 rematch challenger: Former Rep. Scott Taylor (R,VA)

Source: See numerous additional hot races for U.S. House for candidates who withdrew or lost primaries.


House primary results: July 6 - July 17, 2020

Long-time Rep. Eliot Engel (D-NY) loses primary

Five House incumbents have been unseated in primaries. The list so far (we'll add here if any more incumbents lose in late primaries):

Update Aug. 4: Make that "seven House incumbents have been unseated"; see the Kansas and Missouri primaries listed below...
Representative District   
 
Party    Year first seated Lost primary...
(Click on names for their stances no the issues)
Ross SpanoFL-15(D)2019Lost primary to Scott Franklin on Aug. 16
William Lacy ClayMO-1(D)2001Lost primary to Cori Bush on Aug. 4
Steve WatkinsKS-2(R)2019Lost primary to State Sen. Jake LaTurner on Aug. 4
Eliot EngelNY-16(D)1989Lost primary to Jamaal Bowman on July 17
Scott TiptonCO-3(R)2011Lost primary to Lauren Boebert on July 6
Denver RigglemanVA-5(R)2019Lost renomination to Bob Good on June 14
Steve KingIA-4(R)2003Lost primary to State Sen. Randy Feenstra on June 3
Dan LipinskiIL-3(D)2005Lost primary to Marie Newman on March 18

Source: See House incumbents' and candidates' policy stances.


Veepstakes, June 2020

Biden's list of possible vice-presidents

    Following is our coverage of the Veepstakes contenders. Biden's process will likely take all of June and July, with a nominee announced prior to, or at, the Democratic National Convention on Aug. 17. With links to their issue-based coveraeg, the contenders are:

Source:OnTheissues archives and dozens of news reports throughout May and June


Third Party nominations: May 1-2, 2020

One party nomination; two party competitions

We report on the nomination races for several third-party candidates throughout the election. We also report on party platforms, and will update them for 2020 as they become avbailable. Following is our list of parties and candidates:

Party (with link to platform) Candidate(s) nominated or running for nomination
Constitution Party
Virtual convention May 1-2
Don Blankenship(WV): nominated at convention, May 2, 2020
Green Party
Convention planned for July 9-12, 2020
Gov. Jesse Ventura(MN): Exploratory Committee as of April 27, 2020
vs.Howie Hawkins(NY): Green candidate since May 2019
vs.Ian Schlakman(MD): Withdrew Green candidacy Dec. 2018
Libertarian Party
Convention planned for May 21-25
Rep. Justin Amash(MI): Exploratory Committee as of April 28, 2020
vs.Arvin Vohra(MD): Libertarian candidate since July 2018
vs.Larry Sharpe(NY): Libertarian V.P. candidate since July 2018
vs.Sen. Lincoln Chafee(RI): Withdrew Libertarian candidacy April 5, 2020
vs.Zoltan Istvan(CA): Withdrew Libertarian candidacy Nov. 2017
Socialist Party
Party for Socialism and Liberation (PSL) and the Peace and Freedom Party
Convention planned for August 2020; primaries held on Super Tuesday
Gloria La Riva(CA): nominee-apparent since March 3, 2020
Alliance Party / Reform Party
Virtual convention, April 25, 2020
Rocky De La Fuente(FL):

Source: See party platforms for the Democratic Party and the Republican Party, too, through 2016.


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