OnTheIssues predictions for 35 Senate races: Democratic takeover, but not on Election Day!
The partisan balance in the United States Senate currently stands at 53 Republicans to 47 Democrats.
We predict a net gain on Election Day of 3 seats for the Democrats, yielding a 50-50 partisan split.
HOWEVER, we also predict that the Georgia Special Senate Election will not be decided until a runoff on January 5. The Nov. 3 election is a "jungle primary" in which we predict no candidate will exceed 50%, so it'll be "all eyes on Georgia" for two months.
Surprises might come in the following six races, which are too-close-to-call two weeks out: AK, GA-6, IA, KS, NC, SC
All six of the too-close-to-call races have Republican incumbents. Hence if any surprises occur on Election Day, the surprise will mean that the Democrats gain a majority of the Senate. We predict no surprise victory declarations on Election Day....
HOWEVER, the pandemic will cause slow election counting, and hence we predict that these six races will all take several days to decide the winner. We predict that one or two of the too-close-to-call races will result in a Democratic takeover, and hence a safe majority for the Democrats come January, but not until later in the week, and hence "all eyes on the Carolinas."
Note that the Arizona race is also a special election; we predict that the Democrat will win,and will be seated for the lame-duck session of Congress. That would also apply to the Georgia special election, but we predict "no winner" until after the lame-duck session ends.
Note that the Lousiana race is also a "jungle primary", but we predict a clean Republican victory and hence no later runoff race, as we predict in Georgia.
The second debate between Biden and Trump was cancelled because the two sides could not agree on virus protective conditions after President Trump exited Walter Reed hospital for a coronavirus infection. Accordingly:
Vice President Biden participated in a Town Hall on ABC in Philadelphia, moderated by George Stephanopoulos.
President Trump participated in a Town Hall on NBC in Miami, moderated by Savannah Guthrie.
The "Dueling Town Halls" took place at the same time, on opposite TV networks.
When the two candidates addressed the same topic, we excerpted as if the two candidates were on the same stage, responding
The first debate was moderated by Fox News' Chris Wallace, on Sept. 29, at Case Western Reserve University and Cleveland Clinic in Cleveland. Wallace selected the following topics for the first debate:
The Trump and Biden Records
The Supreme Court (and the nomination of Amy Coney Barrett)
Democratic and Republican Town Halls: Sept. 15-17, 2020
Trump and Biden participate in separate Town Halls
The two major party candidates participated this week in "Town Halls," with a single moderator directing questions from a live audience,
and broadcast live. Basically, this was "warm up" for the upcoming debates! Our excerpts include:
The two major parties completed their conventions this week, and the third parties already have.
The results of the conventions is the long list of choices that may appear on your ballot
(most of the third parties will appear on only SOME of the 50 states' ballots).
Following is our coverage of the Veepstakes contenders.
Biden's process will likely take all of June and July, with a nominee announced prior to, or at, the Democratic National Convention on Aug. 17.
With links to their issue-based coveraeg, the contenders are:
We report on the nomination races for several third-party candidates throughout the election.
We also report on party platforms, and will update them for 2020 as they become avbailable.
Following is our list of parties and candidates: