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Presidential debate #3
(Oct. 22)
Second presidential "debate"
(Oct. 15)
Vice presidential debate
(Oct. 7)
First presidential debate
(Sept. 29)
Town Halls: Trump
(Sept. 15) and Biden
(Sept. 17)
Democratic & GOP Conventions
(Aug 2020)
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N.H. Democratic debate
(Feb. 7, 2020)
CNN N.H. Town Hall
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State of the Union
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Iowa Democratic debate
(Jan. 14, 2020)
December Democratic debate
(Dec. 19, 2019)
Impeachment commentary
(Dec. 18, 2019)
November Democratic debate
(Nov. 20, 2019)
October Democratic debate
(Oct. 15, 2019)
CNN GLBT Democratic Town Hall
(Oct. 10, 2019)
Republican debate
(Sept. 24, 2019)
September Democratic debate
(Sept. 12, 2019)
Climate Change Town Hall
(Sept. 4, 2019)
July Democratic debate
(July 30-31, 2019)
June Democratic debate
(June 26-27, 2019)
2019 State of the State speeches
(Jan.-March, 2019)
2019 State of the Union speech
(Feb. 6, 2019)
2018 State of the State speeches
(Jan.-March, 2018)
2018 State of the Union speech
(Jan. 30, 2018)
2017 State of the Union speech
(Feb. 28, 2017)
Third Presidential debate
(Oct. 19, 2016)
Second Presidential debate
(Oct. 9, 2016)
Vice-presidential debate
(Oct. 4, 2016)
First Presidential debate
(Sept. 26, 2016)
Bernie Sanders vs. Hillary Clinton On the Issues
(paperback Feb. 2016)

Miami Democratic debate
(March 2016)
Miami Republican debate
(March 2016)
Republican primary debate in Detroit, Michigan
(March 2016)
CNN-Telemundo Republican debate on eve of Texas primary.
(Feb. 2016)
2016 CNN GOP Town Hall in South Carolina
(Feb. 2016)
2016 CBS News Republican Debate in S.C.
(Feb. 2016)
PBS Democratic Primary Debate in Wisconsin
(Feb. 2016)
2016 ABC News/IJReview Republican Debate in N.H.
(Feb. 2016)
MSNBC Democratic primary debate in New Hampshire
(Feb. 2016)
CNN Democratic Town Hall
(Jan. 2016)
Fox Iowa GOP debate
(Jan. 2016)
NBC/CBC Democratic debate
(Jan. 2016)
Fox Business GOP debate
(Jan. 2016)
State of the Union address
(Jan. 2016)
Hillary Clinton vs. Jeb Bush On the Issues
(paperback Feb. 2016)

CNN GOP Nevada debate
(Dec. 2015)
Syrian Refugee crisis
(Nov.-Dec. 2015)
CBS Democratic debate
(Nov. 2015)
Fox Business GOP debate
(Nov. 2015)
CNBC GOP debate
(Oct. 2015)

CNN Democrat debate
(Oct. 2015)

CNN GOP debate
(Sept. 2015)

Fox/Facebook GOP debate
(August 2015)

Marco Rubio vs. Jeb Bush On the Issues
(paperback June 2015)

Hillary Clinton vs. Rand Paul On the Issues
(paperback May 2015)

Rand Paul vs. Jeb Bush On the Issues
(paperback April 2015)

Jeb vs. Hillary On the Issues
(paperback Feb. 2015)

Rand vs. Ron Paul On the Issues
(Chart April 2015)

Hillary vs. Bill Clinton On the Issues
(Chart Feb. 2015)

Jeb vs. George Bush On the Issues
(Chart March 2015)

Excerpts from "Hard Choices"
(by Hillary Clinton)

Excerpts from "Immigration Wars"
(by Jeb Bush)

Excerpts from "Government Bullies"
(by Rand Paul)

Iowa pre-caucus Summits
(Jan.-March, 2015)

2015 presidential hopeful excerpts

Senate debates
(for Nov. 2014 elections):

Recent books by...
Former Gov. Mitt Romney (R, MA)
No Apology
Rep. Paul Ryan (R, WI)
Young Guns
Pres. Barack Obama
The Audacity of Hope
V.P. Joe Biden
Promises to Keep
Former Rep. Ron Paul
End the Fed

Former Pres. George W. Bush
Decision Points
Former Gov. Sarah Palin (R, AK)
America By Heart
Secy. of State Hillary Clinton
Living History
Former Pres. Bill Clinton
My Life
Gov. Jesse Ventura
American Conspiracies

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2021-2022 Election Coverage:

2020 Senatorial debates:
- AL - AK - AZ - AR - CO - DE - GA-2 - GA-6 - ID - IL - IA - KS - KY - LA -
- ME - MA - MI - MN - MS - MT - NE - NH - NJ - NM - NC -
- OK - OR - RI - SC - SD - TN - TX - VA - WV - WY

2019-2021 Gubernatorial debates:
DE - IN - KY - LA - MO - MS - MT - NC - ND - NH - NJ - PR - UT - VA - VT - WA - WV


Hot Senate races: Sept. 3, 2021

Early 2022 Senate race coverage

It's early in the Senate election cycle (the election that will be held in November 2022) but plenty of states have hot races already. Our early coverage:

Senate raceDemocrat(s)Republican(s)
Alabama Rep. Terri Sewell Ambassador Lynda Blanchard
Rep. Mo Brooks
Alaska (No Democrat declared yet) Sen. Lisa Murkowski (incumbent)
Commissioner Kelly Tshibaka
Florida Rep. Val Demings Sen. Marco Rubio (incumbent)
Iowa Rep. Abby Finkenauer Sen. Chuck Grassley (incumbent)
State Sen. Jim Carlin
Kentucky State Rep. Charles Booker Sen. Rand Paul (incumbent)
Missouri State Sen. Scott Sifton
Marine Officer Lucas Kunce
Gov. Eric Greitens
Rep. Vicky Hartzler
North Carolina Justice Cheri Beasley
State Sen. Erica Smith
Gov. Pat McCrory
Rep. Ted Budd
Ohio Rep. Tim Ryan Treasurer Josh Mandel
Author JD Vance
Oregon Sen. Ron Wyden (incumbent) QAnon supporter Jo Rae Perkins
Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. John Fetterman
Commissioner Val Arkoosh
CEO Everett Stern
CEO Jeff Bartos
Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes
Treasurer Sarah Godlewski
Sen. Ron Johnson (incumbent)

Source: See additional 2022 Senate race coverage.

Ambassadorial Appointments: Aug. 25, 2021

Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett nominated as ambassador to Luxembourg

President Biden has nominated numerous politicians as foreign ambassadors -- the full lis so far appears below.

We wondered if Biden's number of political appointments was higher than usual -- so we made a list of Trump's political ambassadorships too.

The answer is: Both Biden and Trump made numerous political appointments, and that's fairly normal for ambassdorships.

We define "political appointment" as "a person who was covered by OnTheIssues for their elected role or campaign role, prior to their nomination as Ambassador."

Biden Ambassadorial AppointmentsTrump Ambassadorial Appointments

Source: See 2021 Biden Ambassadors' Confirmation Hearings for full issue coverage.

New York Gubernatorial Impeachment: Aug. 3, 2021

Governor Andrew Cuomo may resign

Update: Gov. Cuomo announced his regination on Aug. 10; Lt. Gov. Hochul will be sworn in on Aug. 24.
New York Attorney General Letitia James investigated allegations of sexual harassment against Governor Andrew Cuomo, and released a public report of their findings. Status of resignation and impeachment:
New York or related CandidateUpdate
Gov. Andrew CuomoGovernor would be up for re-election in November 2022; he says he will not resign, and will run for re-election
Lt. Gov. Kathy_HochulLieutenant Governor would step in if Cuomo resigns or is impeached
NYC Mayor Bill de Blasio"Severe misconduct" is "disqualifying"
President Joe Biden"I think he should resign"
Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi"I call upon the Governor to resign"
Governors Ned Lamont (D-CT), Dan McKee (D-RI), Phil Murphy (D-NJ), and Tom Wolf (D-PA)Joint statement from four governors that "Governor Cuomo should resign from office."

Source: See 2022 New York Gubernatorial race for full issue coverage.

CPAC Conference, July 9-11, 2021

Straw Poll results from Conservative Political Action Conferences

  • The American Conservative Union holds the "CPAC Conference" annually, with a wide range of conservative speakers and candidates.
  • The ACU conducts a "straw poll" at each CPAC conference, indicating preferences for the next Republican presidential primary. While indicative mostly of conservative sentiment, this poll is widely reported in the media.
  • In 2021, for the first time, the ACU held two CPAC conferences: one in February and one in July, due to COVID restrictions.
  • We report on the poll results from both 2021 conferences below, with links to CPAC excerpts or additional excerpts.
  • Figures are from the "without Trump" poll for all candidates other than Donald Trump.

July 2021 CPAC straw pollFeb. 2021 CPAC straw poll

Source: See 2020-2021 CPAC Conference recent coverage, or from 2016-2019, 2015, 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011, 2010, or 2009.

Hot House races: July 2, 2021

Challengers take on rematches and redistricting

OTI covers "hot" House races where at least two contenders are well-known; there are already a batch of hot races for 2022 shaping up....
Congressional DistrictIncumbentChallenger(s)
California's 21st District
Rematch from 2020
Rep. David Valadao (R) Former Rep. T.J. Cox (D)
California's 48th District
Rematch from 2020
Rep. Michelle Steel (R) Former U.S. Rep. Harley Rouda (D)
Georgia's 10th District
Open Seat: incumbent running for Georgia Secretary of State
Rep. Jody Hice (R) Former U.S. Rep. Paul Broun (R)
Maine's 2nd District
Rematch from 2020
Rep. Jared Golden (D) Former Rep. Bruce Poliquin (R, announced Aug. 4)
Montana's 2nd District
New from census redistricting
Rep. Matt Rosendale (R,MT-0) Former U.S. Rep. Ryan Zinke (R)
vs. Former Gov. challenger Al Olszewski (R)
New Jersey's 7th District
Rematch from 2020
Rep. Tom Malinowski (D) State Sen. Tom Kean Jr. (R)
vs. Former Senate nominee Rik Mehta (R)
Rhode Island's 1st District
Hot race
Rep. David Cicilline (D) 2020 Senate nominee Allen Waters (R)
Washington's 4th District
Rematch from 2020
Rep. Dan Newhouse (D) Former Senate nominee Brad Klippert (R)

Source: See additional 2021 House redistricting and 2022 retirements.

NYC Mayoral Primary: June 22, 2021

NYC's first RCV election

New York City held its Democratic mayoral primary on June 22 and the winner is... UNKNOWN as of June 30! NYC used a "ranked choice voting" system where every voter chose up to 5 candidates, in ranked order. The new system has proven to take a long time to count. We'll report results when known; some of the candidates:
NYC Democratic Mayoral CandidateHistory
Bill de BlasioTerm-limited incumbent
Andrew YangFormer Presidential contender, 2020
Shaun DonovanHUD Secretary and director of OMB
Brooklyn Borough President Eric Adams
NYC Sanitation Commissioner Kathryn Garcia
Frontrunners in RCV as of June 30
Some other mayoral races we're currently covering, or have covered and the mayor is moving up....
Other Mayors and Mayoral CandidatesCity / Election
Tom BarrettFormer Milwaukee Mayor running(?) for 2022 Wisconsin Governor
Julian CastroFormer San Antonio Mayor running(?) for 2022 Texas Governor
Steven FulopJersey City Mayor running for re-election in 2021
Eric GarcettiLos Angeles Mayor resigning for appointment as Ambassador to India
Dennis KucinichFormer Presidential contender running for Mayor of Cleveland
Antonio VillaraigosaFormer L.A. Mayor running in 2021 California Recall
Marty WalshResigned as Boston Mayor in 2021 for appointment as U.S. Secretary of Labor

Source: See other Mayors and mayoral candidates for full issue coverage.

Early 2021 Political Books: May 21, 2021

Political biographies for 2022 and 2024 races

    OnTheissues excerpts political biographies to discover candidates' issue stances.

  • Full-length books allow candidates to provide more substance and context than shorter TV-oriented and newspaper-excerpted blurbs -- we include both the longer and the shorter versions on candidate pages so that voters can read the summary blubr and then the details with more context.

  • Following is our current crop of political biographies excerpted in early 2021 -- we'll add similar crops every few months in the lead-up to upcoming elections.

  • In this crop, we focus on retrospectives of the 2020 presidential race (three books on the Trump Administration); analyses of the Biden administration (two books); biogrpahies of candiadtes for 2022 (one book now, with more to follow); and philosophical underpinnings of current campaigns (two books).

  • Our book excerpts are intended to not only to provide issue-based excerpts, but also to give readers a flavor of the book in question, for which we include brief book reviews focused on helping voters decide if they'd like to read the full book.

Lead from the Outside

by Stacey Abrams

Too Much and Never Enough

by Mary L. Trump Ph.D

A Very Stable Genius

by Philip Rucker & Carol Leonni

Piety & Power

by Tom LoBianco/td>

The Democrats

by Alexander Moore

Barack and Joe

by Steven Levingston

Saving Capitalism

by Robert B. Reich

Rules for Radicals

by Saul Alinsky
Source: See additional political biographies from the 2020 camapaigns.

President Biden's Cabinet: May 3, 2021

Cabinet finalized as confirmed by Senate

Source: See House members' policy stances.

Special Election Results: Dec. 1-3, 2020

Five House SPEL races in 2020; two so far for 2021

  • Rep.-Elect Kwanza Hall won the special election in Georgia's 5th Congressional District on Dec. 1
  • Rep. Hall was sworn in on Dec. 3, because it's a special election (all other Representatives-Elect will be sworn in on Jan. 3, 2021)
  • Special elections occur when an incumbent member of the House resigns or passes away. There were 5 special elections during 2020:
  • There are two SPEL races anticipated so far for 2021, for members of the House who resign to serve in the Biden administration -- listed below.
Congressional DistrictSPEL dateWinning Party / New RepresentativeReason predecessor left
Georgia's 5th DistrictDecember 1, 2020Democratic winner: Kwanza Hall Rep. John Lewis passed away
New York's 27th DistrictJune 23, 2020Republican winner: Chris Jacobs Rep. Chris Collins resigned in a scandal
Wisconsin's 7th DistrictMay 12, 2020Republican winner: Tom Tiffany Rep. Sean Duffy resigned for health reasons
California's 25th DistrictMay 12,2020 Republican winner: Mike Garcia Rep. Katie Hill resigned ina scandal
Maryland's 7th DistrictApril 28, 2020Democratic winner: Kweisi Mfume Rep. Elijah Cummings passed away

  • There are two SPEL races anticipated so far for 2021, for members of the House who resign to serve in the Biden administration:
Louisiana's 2nd District~Feb. 2021Democratic resignation: Cedric Richmond Will resign to serve as Office of Public Liaison to President-elect Biden
Ohio's 11th District~Feb. 2021Democratic winner: Marcia Fudge Will resign to serve as HUD Secretary in Biden's Cabinet

Source: See additional 2020 House races and outcomes.

All Eyes on Georgia: Nov. 17, 2020

Two races in Georgia will determine control of Senate

  • Georgia had two Senate races in 2020, and in neither race did a candidate get over 50% of the vote.
  • Under Georgia election law, a runoff will occur on Jan. 5th, 2021, with the top two vote-getters from each race.
  • Right now, the election results yield 48 Democrats and 50 Republicans in the Senate. -- with Democratic Vice President-elect Kamala Harris as the tiebreaker, the two Georgia seats will determine majority control of the Senate.
  • The party with majority control of the Senate determines all the Senate committee chairs, and thereby sets the agenda for all of 2021-2022.
  • Hence "all eyes on Georgia" until Jan. 5.
  • Below is our coverage of the Georgia Senate elections and the coming runoffs -- the winners of the Nov. 3 election, who are in the runoff for Jan. 5, are marked.
Candidate Debate
Regularly-scheduled election for 6-year Senate term (candidates shown with party affiliation and percentage of November vote):
David Perdue(R,49.7%) Debate AARP CampusElect Website TV Ad
Jon Ossoff(D,48%) Debate AARP CampusElect Website TV Ad AJC
Shane Hazel(L,2.3%) Debate NPAT Website
Teresa Tomlinson(D) Debate Website
Special election for 2-year Senate term after resignation of Johnny Isakson (candidates shown with percentage of November vote; "Others" garnered 17% total):
Raphael Warnock(D,33%) Debate AARP CampusElect Website TV Ad AJC
Kelly Loeffler(R,26%) Debate AARP CampusElect TV Ad AJC
Doug Collins(R,20%) Debate CampusElect Website
Matt Lieberman(D,2.8%) Debate Website AJC
Ed Tarver(D,0.5%) Debate
Allen Buckley(L,0.4%) Debate AJC
Valencia Stovall(I,0.3%) Debate OTI NPAT Legis

Source: See numerous additional excerpts from the 2-year Senate race and the 6-year Senate race plus fact-checking.

President-Elect Biden's Cabinet speculation: Nov. 13, 2020

Prospects for Cabinet appointments and subsequent Senate appointments

Source: See President Trump's outgoing Cabinet for full issue coverage.

Presidential Election Prediction, for Nov. 3, 2020

OnTheIssues prediction: Biden wins 388-150 but....

  • We predict that Joe Biden will win in a landslide, but not on Election Night.
  • We further predict that polling will be vindicated after the travesty of incorrect polls in Nov 2016, with caveats. Details below....
  • ON ELECTION NIGHT: We predict Biden will end the evening ahead by 175-123 on Nov. 3 -- those are the dark blue and dark red states in our prediction map above.
  • No victory will be declared on Nov. 3, because not enough states will have finished counting ballots for either candidate to reach the minimum 270 electoral votes for victory.
  • ON ELECTION VICTORY: The light blue and light red states, we predict, will all be decided in the days following the election -- some by Nov. 4, and some as late as Nov 9, due to COVID slowing the ballot counting.
  • Biden should reach the threshold 270 electoral votes sometime around Friday, Nov. 6. In the intervening three days, the presidency will be uncertain -- we describe that "interregnum" below.
  • ON POLLING: Our prediction is based on polls (like everyone else's), with exceptions detailed below. The pollsters claim to have "fixed" the problems with polling from November 2016, and we have studied their methods and believe them. If they're wrong again, like in 2016, it means polling cannot be fixed.
    • DARK BLUE: Biden leads in the polls by 5% or more in several polls in these states. If any of these are inaccurate, it means the polls were grossly wrong -- and should never be trusted, ever again.
    • LIGHT BLUE: Biden leads in the polls by 2% or more in several polls in these states, or there are exception in our list below (for TX, FL, and GA).
    • DARK RED: Trump leads, and Biden stopped campaigning in these states. Two exceptions are Maine and Nebraska, both of which split their electoral votes -- Trump might lose a couple of electoral votes there.
    • LIGHT RED: Too close to call. We predict these will go to Trump because of "shy voter syndrome": Trump supporters are reluctant to tell the truth to pollsters because they consider pollsters to be anti-Trump.
  • ON EXCEPTIONS: We make three state predictions that bend the rules above, all based on extra campaigning done on the Democratic side. These three states are all "too close too call", so we're calling them for Biden because....
    • GA: Stacey Abrams has worked for two years on registering black voters (who typically vote 90% Dem. to 10% GOP) in Georgia, after the stolen election of 2018. Pollsters cannot count newly-registered voters when they are unexpectedly registered -- they have to use the previous election's expectations -- so thousands of new voters are ignored in the polls.
    • TX: Beto O'Rourke has worked for months near Texas' southern border, registering new Latino voters (including many former Mexicans or people with family in Mexico), another under-represented community. This group is pro-Democrat too, and all the more so because of Trump's demonization of Mexicans and immigrants in general.
    • FL: Mike Bloomberg has spent $100 million on TV advertising in Florida in favor of Biden. That spending will turn out many young people and other polling groups under-represented in traditional polling.
  • ON ELECTION LATE-NIGHT: If you see TX, GA, and FL declared for Trump late on Nov. 3, then Trump will win the whole election overwhelmingly. Biden still has enough to win without those three -- it would be 305-233 in Biden's favor -- but it means the polls are all wrong, and our analysis is all wrong, and it's 2016 all over again.
  • If you see TX, GA, or FL (any of the three) declared for Biden late on Nov. 3, then Biden will win overwhelmingly. This is the scenario we predict as the most likely.
  • If neither of those overwhelming scenarios occurs, then there will be no winner reaching 270 electoral votes for several days, and America will suffer an "interregnum", a period where America's leadership is undetermined...
  • ON INTERREGNUM:: Awaiting an outcome of the presidential race is dangerous in the current political climate. If no winner is decided on Nov. 3 or early Nov. 4, we predict a period of civil unrest until a winner is declared, which could be days or even weeks.
  • Recall the interregnum of November-to-December 2000, when Al Gore and George W. Bush fought in the courts for the presidency while the country waited with bated breath. We don't foresee Trump's supporters holding their breath while courts slowly proceed -- we foresee them taking to the streets instead-- hence our prediction of civil unrest until a decisive outcome.

Source: See Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump for full race coverage.

Governor Predictions, Oct. 30, 2020

OnTheIssues predictions for 12 Gubernatorial races: Republican retention of majority of Governor's seats

  • Eleven states, plus Puerto Rico, have governor elections in 2020; our predictions for each race appear below.
  • The current partisan balance is 26 Republicans and 24 Democrats, plus a Republican incumbent in Puerto Rico.
  • Our prediction is for one Republican takeover and one Democratic takeover, leaving the same partisan balance of 27-24.
  • But "partisan balance" doesn't really matter for governors, since there is no collective voting by governors, like there is for Senators.
  • What matters most for "partisan balance" is the governor's party affiliation when appointing Senators to fill the seats of those who enter the new Cabinet in 2021.
  • Cabinet appointments of incumbent Senators happens frequently -- and applies to either Biden's new appointees, or Trump's second term appointees. Some interesting cases:
  • If Senator Kamala Harris(D-CA) wins the Vice-Presidency, her replacement would be appointed by Governor Gavin Newsom(D-CA).
  • If Biden wins the White House and appoints Senator Cory Booker(D-NJ) to the Cabinet, his replacement would be appointed by Governor Phil Murphy(D-NJ).
  • In both those cases, the governor is from the same party as the Senator for whom he'd be appointing a replacement. In the following cases, the governor and Senator are from opposing parties -- which means these appointments would change the partisan balance in the Senate:
  • If Trump wins, and appoints Senator Jerry Moran(R-KS) to the Cabinet, his replacement would be appointed by Governor Laura Kelly(D-KS).
  • If Biden wins, and appoints Senator Bernie Sanders(I-VT) to the Cabinet, his replacement would be appointed by Governor Phil Scott(R-VT).
  • If Biden wins, and appoints Senator Elizabeth Warren(D-MA) to the Cabinet, her replacement would be appointed by Governor Charlie Baker(R-MA).
  • The decision of who to nominate for Cabinet positions would certainly be affected by the potential loss of partisan strength ni the Senate!

DEJulianne Murray (R)John Carney(D)Dem retention
INEric Holcomb (R)Woody Myers(D)GOP retention
MOMike Parson (R)Nicole Galloway(D)GOP retention
MTGreg Gianforte (R)Mike Cooney(D)GOP takeover
NHChris Sununu (R)Dan Feltes(D)GOP retention
NCDan Forest (R)Roy Cooper(D)Dem retention
NDDoug Burgum (R)Shelley Lenz(D)GOP retention
PRWanda Vazquez Garced (R)Pedro Pierluisi(D)Dem takeover
UTSpencer Cox (R)Chris Peterson(D)GOP retention
VTPhil Scott (R)David Zuckerman(D)GOP retention
WALoren Culp (R)Jay Inslee(D)Dem retention
WVJim Justice (R)Ben Salango(D)GOP retention

Source: See Governor races and candidates' policy stances.

Third Presidential Debate: Oct. 22, 2020

Excerpts from Trump & Biden, plus fact-checking

The third debate between Biden and Trump included new rules by the Commission on Presidential Debates to mute the microphones. When one candidate is initially asked a question, the microphone of the opposing candidate is muted for two minutes, to allow an uninterrupted response. This new rule responds to the first debate's constant speaking over each other (most of which did NOT occur during the "uninterrupted response" time).

The debate took place at Belmont University, in Nashville TN. The moderator, Kristen Welker of NBC, chose six topics:

  1. Fighting COVID-19
  2. American families
  3. Race in America
  4. Climate change
  5. National Security
  6. Leadership (which becamse the question, "What will say on inauguration day to those who voted against you?")
  7. The Trump campaign requested a focus on foreign policy (which came up a few times, but not as a formal question)
    Excerpts from Donald Trump:
  • Need to re-open country during pandemic, to have a country
  • Use military to distribute 100 million vials of vaccine
  • China has already paid $28B to our farmers
  • Working very hard to reunite 500+ kids with their parents
  • Wind power kills birds; solar can't run factories
  • Excerpts from Joe Biden:
  • Re-open businesses, restaurants, & schools with COVID safet
  • If we just all wore masks, we'd save 100,000 lives
  • Malarkey that China paid farmers; taxpayers did
  • Separating kids from parents in border cages is criminal
  • Fence-line communities need restrictions on pollutants

Source: See numerous additional debate excerpts plus fact-checking.

Senate Election Prediction, Oct. 19, 2020

OnTheIssues predictions for 35 Senate races: Democratic takeover, but not on Election Day!

ARRicky Dale Harrington (Libertarian)Tom CottonGOP retention
AKAl Gross(Independent)Dan SullivanToo close to call; GOP incumbent
ALDoug JonesTommy TubervilleGOP takeover
AZMark KellyMartha McSallyDem takeover
COJohn HickenlooperCory GardnerDem takeover
DEChris CoonsLauren WitzkeDem retention
GA-2Kelly Loeffler
vs.Doug Collins
vs.Derrick Grayson
vs.Valencia Stovall(Independent)
Raphael Warnock
vs.Ed Tarver
vs.Matt Lieberman
vs.Allen Buckley(Libertarian)
Runoff in January
GA-6David Perdue
vs.Shane Hazel(Libertarian)
Jon OssoffRunoff in January
IATheresa GreenfieldJoni ErnstToo close to call; GOP incumbent
IDPaulette JordanJim RischGOP retention
ILDick DurbinMark CurranDem retention
KSBarbara BollierRoger MarshallToo close to call; GOP incumbent
KYAmy McGrathMitch McConnellGOP retention
LAAdrian PerkinsBill CassidyGOP retention
MAEd MarkeyKevin O`Connor
vs.Shiva Ayyadurai(Independent)
Dem retention
MESara GideonSusan CollinsDem takeover
MIGary Peters
vs.Marcia Squier(Green)
John JamesDem retention
MNTina Smith
vs.Paula Overby(Green)
Jason LewisDem retention
MSMike EspyCindy Hyde-SmithGOP retention
MTSteve BullockSteve DainesDem takeover
NCCal CunninghamThom TillisToo close to call; GOP incumbent
NEChris JanicekBen SasseGOP retention
NHJeanne ShaheenCorky MessnerDem retention
NJCory BookerRik MehtaDem retention
NMBen Ray LujanMark Ronchetti
vs.Bob Walsh(Libertarian)
Dem retention
OKAbby BroylesJim InhofeGOP retention
ORJeff MerkleyJo Rae PerkinsDem retention
RIJack ReedAllen WatersDem retention
SCJaime HarrisonLindsey GrahamToo close to call; GOP incumbent
SDDan AhlersMike RoundsGOP retention
TNMarquita BradshawBill HagertyGOP retention
TXMJ HegarJohn CornynGOP retention
VAMark WarnerDaniel GadeDem retention
WVPaula Jean SwearenginShelley Moore CapitoGOP retention
WYMerav Ben-DavidCynthia LummisGOP retention

Source: See 2020 Senate debate page for full race coverage.

Second Presidential "Debate": Oct. 15, 2020

Excerpts from Trump & Biden "Dueling Town Halls"

    The second debate between Biden and Trump was cancelled because the two sides could not agree on virus protective conditions after President Trump exited Walter Reed hospital for a coronavirus infection. Accordingly:
  • Vice President Biden participated in a Town Hall on ABC in Philadelphia, moderated by George Stephanopoulos.
  • President Trump participated in a Town Hall on NBC in Miami, moderated by Savannah Guthrie.
  • The "Dueling Town Halls" took place at the same time, on opposite TV networks.
  • When the two candidates addressed the same topic, we excerpted as if the two candidates were on the same stage, responding
Excerpts from Joe Biden: Excerpts from Donald Trump:
I started wearing masks in March; Trump still questions them. People with masks can still catch coronavirus.
It's a K-shape recovery; only works for the top. We have a V-shape recovery; it's coming back.
More community policing, but not as police jump-out squads. Strong on law enforcement AND on enforcing law on police.
Fund research at HBCUs for foundational support. I got funding for HBCUs for ten years.
I wanted to keep people in China in early 2020 pandemic. I put in travel ban to China very early, and Europe too.
Pre-existing conditions are in jeopardy from Supreme Court. Replace ObamaCare with less expensive but great healthcare.

Source: See numerous additional debate excerpts plus fact-checking.

Vice Presidential Debate: Oct. 7, 2020

Excerpts from Pence & Harris, plus fact-checking

    The Vice Presidential debate was held in utah, moderated by USA Today.

    Excerpts from V.P. Mike Pence:
  • Biden's plan is a $2 trillion version of Green New Deal.
  • We're producing millions of vaccines; ready by end of year.
  • FactCheck: Voted against Great Recession auto bailout
  • Factcheck: Yes, Biden promised to move embassy to Jerusalem; but Obama never agreed
  • Excerpts from Sen. Kamala Harris:
  • FactCheck: Yes, would ban fracking; but Biden never agreed
  • Trump's 50 Court of Appeals appointments: no Blacks.
  • Trump's China policy has cost American jobs & lives.
  • On pre-existing conditions: Republicans are coming for you.
  • We won't raise taxes on anyone earning less than $400,000.
  • We lost Trump's trade war with China, by losing jobs

Source: See numerous additional debate excerpts plus fact-checking.

First Presidential Debate: Sept. 29, 2020

Excerpts from Trump & Biden, plus fact-checking

    The first debate was moderated by Fox News' Chris Wallace, on Sept. 29, at Case Western Reserve University and Cleveland Clinic in Cleveland. Wallace selected the following topics for the first debate:
  1. The Trump and Biden Records
  2. The Supreme Court (and the nomination of Amy Coney Barrett)
  3. Covid-19
  4. The Economy
  5. Race and Violence in our Cities. and
  6. The Integrity of the Election.

  • Excerpts from Joe Biden:
  • Ran for president after Trump's response to Charlottesville.
  • Suburbs are by and large integrated.
  • Violence is never appropriate response to police violence.
  • Reimagine policing: I totally oppose defunding police.
  • FactCheck: Endorsed by 175 law enforcement officials.
  • I support the Biden Plan, not the Green New Deal.
  • Five states have done mail-in ballots for a decade or more.
  • FactCheck: Yes, Hunter Biden was kicked out of military.
    Excerpts from Donald Trump:
  • Proud Boys: stand back & stand by
  • Racial sensitivity training is racist
  • FactCheck: No, not endorsed by Portland's Sheriff.
  • FactCheck: Hillary used term "super predators," not Biden.
  • Obama left 128 openings for judges; I appointed 300.
  • My healthcare plan: we got rid of the individual mandate.
  • I created the Space Force and fixed the VA.

Source: See numerous additional debate excerpts plus fact-checking.

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